The Bank of Canada held its ground today, leaving the overnight lending rate unchanged at 1 percent. While the move was expected (the rate has been locked at this near-historic rate since September of 2010), the tone of the announcement was far less confident than previous press conferences.
The Bank’s release explained how a global economic slowdown is impacting Canada’s growth potential. While domestic factors remain strong, the Bank has trimmed back its outlook, suggeting that the economy will grow “at a pace roughly in line with its production potential in the near term.” Consumption and business investment are expected to be the main source of growth. However, the effect of lower commodity prices on Canadian incomes, combined with increasing household-debt, could cause some serious setbacks. Continue reading →