Back in April, FinanceĀ MinisterĀ Mark Carney remarked that “in exceptional circumstances, if there are issues that threaten financial stability, such as household debt… the bank could use monetary policy for that purpose.”
Just three months later, those exceptional circumstances have become reality.
On Wednesday, the Federal Government made their move to further tighten mortgage rules, addressing concerns over high Canadian household debt.Ā Continue reading
News of increased financial strain in Spain today has caused the Bank of Canada to brace for a ripple effect on the other side of the ocean. Any spillover from the increasingly vulnerable European market is expected to carry over to North American, rocking the fragile U.S. banking sector before it lands on the doorstep of Canadian homeowners.
Households with high debt will be the first to feel the impact. Already debt-burdened households could begin defaulting on their mortgages as historically low rates begin to rise and Ā banks begin to tighten their lending restrictions in response to growing uncertainty. From there, it’s a domino effect of job loss, a housing freeze and decreased market action. Continue reading
The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation released its second quarter housing market outlook today, stating that housing starts will likely moderate by the end of the year. While the market has remained hot through the first half of 2012, the Housing Corp. believes that both new and existing home market activity will eventually slow and even out.
Housing starts are expected in the range of 182,300 to 220,600 units this year, which is up from the roughly 164,000 to 212,700 forecasted back in 2012. The CMHC’s deputy chief economist, Mathieu Laberge, attributes this unexpected growth to condo construction, noting that the numbers varied significantly from month to month. Continue reading
The first round of changes to Canada’s mortgage rules were more bark than bite, according to a letter sent to the nation’s banks on Wednesday from the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions. Earlier this year, mortgage experts speculated that new mortgage rules could have a dampening effect on hot real estate markets, as more and more mortgage applications would inevitably be rejected.
Draft guidelines released in March suggested that the OSFI would eliminate 100% financing using a 5 percent cashback mortgage as well as enforce stiffer regulations concerning loan-to-value ration calculations and stated income mortgages. The document also inferred that borrowers would be required to re-qualify each time their mortgage came up for renewal.
However, Wednesday’s announcement tells an entirely different story.
The Bank of Canada announced that it would maintain its overnight rate of 1 percent this morning, thanks to disproportionate growth in the Canadian economy. According to the official release from the Bank, economic growth in Canada was slightly slower than expected in the first quarter of 2012. Even so, the underlying economic momentum appears largely consistent with projected expectations. As such, the latest release from the Bank appeared to ease up on the possibility of an imminent rate hike. However, the overall tone of the piece did little to dispel the fact that rates will increase eventually.Ā Continue reading